NEW FLIGHTS TO MAFIA

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We are happy to announce a NEW daily flight option for Mafia. This is a direct flight from Zanzibar that allows a quick connection from Arusha and the northern wildlife safaris. The 45 minute flight will arrive just after lunch in Mafia and return directly to Zanzibar. This is great news for those using the many international flight options into Zanzibar and it avoids the hassle of leaving the aircraft in Dar es Salaam, completing security again and waiting for an onward flight to Mafia with airlines that use Dar as the hub. theflight will officially launch in July and in Mafia will be handled by Kinasi.

BUT WAIT ! the best news is that the flight will be extremely competitively priced as well underlining our claim that domestic airlines have been over-charging on the Dar es Salaam- Mafia route (we have made our complaints in writing to the Tanzania Civil Aviation Authority).

FLIGHTS TO TANZANIA

Air travel is likely to be a “clumsy” and probably expensive experience for some time (after the new incentives wear out), once flights commence again on June 1st. Several passenger airlines will soon commence to Tanzania starting June 1st these include Emirates (and flyDubai), Qatar, Swiss, Ethiopian, Turkish and KLM. we also expect some of the regional airlines (Kenya Airways) will commence soon. Air Tanzania has been flying its domestic routes without interruption.

WHAT WILL FLYING LOOK LIKE

Physical distancing on aircraft is likely to be impossible and unsustainable

Mandating that empty airline seats are required to increase physical distance between passengers may not be an effective (and certainly not a financially viable) health precaution on board aircraft. In any case it does not afford a distance of 2 m – the recommended minimum for social distancing – around each passenger. One coach airline seat is only 45 cm (yes that is why they are so uncomfortable and aircraft feel so crowded these days). To provide at least 6 feet, there would need to be at least 4 seats entirely around one passenger – to the left and right, and two seats in rows in front and behind. To remain financially viable airlines would not be able to do this. (On the other hand, there is little evidence of passenger-to-passenger spread on board aircraft in any case). Advance seat assignment and seat preferences/requests from travelers may not be able to be granted, and there is no clarity on how long any measures may be in place and what the cost impact will be on ticket prices. Yes there may be incentive fares to begin with, but later ? if this goes on for longer……Finally, with social distancing on board families will not want to be separated.

International protocols on air travel

In the second report IATA released data last week showing that the damage to air travel from COVID-19 extends into the medium-term, with long-haul/international travel being the most severely impacted. Quarantine

measures and stay-at-home restrictions would further damage confidence in air travel. IATA proposes that a risk-based “layered” approach of globally harmonized biosecurity measures is critical for the restart. IATA and Tourism Economics modeled two air travel scenarios. The Baseline Scenario concludes that in 2021 the recovery in airline travel would reach 75% of the 2019 levels (which we think is EXTREMELY optimistic) with full recovery in 2023. The Pessimistic Scenario forecasts over 60% of the 2019 levels will be achieved in 2021. We think even this scenario is optimistic for many reasons (physical limits on travel by governments, lower disposal incomes, many people will be unemployed, need to get back to work for those who have it, availability of flights, destination preparedness, changed patterns of travel in the short-term, family disruption from direct COVID impact, stay-at-home campaigns).

“Major stimulus from governments combined with liquidity injections by central banks will boost the economic recovery once the pandemic is under control. But rebuilding passenger confidence will take longer. And even then, individual and corporate travelers are likely to carefully manage travel spend and stay closer to home,” said Alexandre de Juniac, IATA’s Director General and CEO.

Long-Haul Travel Impact will be longer-lasting

A survey of recent air travelers conducted in April 2020 found that 58% are somewhat or very likely to restrict their initial travel to domestic journeys. IATA concludes “The impacts of the crisis on long-haul travel will be much more severe and of a longer duration than what is expected in domestic markets. This makes globally agreed and implemented biosecurity standards for the travel process all the more critical.”

Avoid Quarantine Measures

“We need a solution for safe travel that addresses two challenges. It must give passengers confidence to travel safely and without undue hassle. And it must give governments confidence that they are protected from importing the virus. Our proposal is for a layering of temporary non-quarantine measures until we have a vaccine, immunity passports or nearly instant COVID-19 testing available at scale,” said de Juniac.